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richardstevenhack's avatar

"The question I can’t answer, and the filing doesn’t either, is who outside Anthropic measures how fast its models are improving."

I thought it was METR. Didn't they just release a report on their monitoring of Anthropic's internal operations?

Independent Assessment of AI R&D Acceleration at Anthropic in October 2026

https://metr.org/blog/2026-11-05-anthropic-ai-rd-acceleration-assessment/

Since METR is financially connected to Anthropic and hails from the same Rationalist/Effective Altruism cult, I call BS on the whole thing.

In addition, "Recursive Self Improvement" is not a Thing - yet. And according to some AI experts, can never be a Thing with LLM technology.

Not that it matters, since both Anthropic and OpenAI are dead companies walking, since neither are profitable or sustainable, and will very likely collapse, if not go under entirely, in 2027-2028. Which doesn't prevent further ressearch, of course, but I'm not holding my breath for RSI.

Josh Woodruff's avatar

The standing-orders file in item 9 is the one I'd watch. Whoever writes to it steers every project on that machine, and the agent can't tell its owner's edit from an attacker's. It's the same shape as an agent running on a person's login, where the record shows one name for both. Hashing the file helps, and an agent with its own identity makes the edit attributable.

Ready for more?